- Client Kalshi bet on the price of BTC to exceed $99,999.
- Traders believe that kriptovalyuta won’t rise in price that much in 2026.
- Ted Pillowes predicts a sharp drop in the price of Bitcoin in the second quarter.
In the prediction market Kalshi Bitcoin is predicted to reach $100,000 in 2026, but traders don’t believe it.
With the bullish trend resuming, clients Kalshi have started actively betting that the price of BTC will exceed $99,999.99 by the end of the year, so the likelihood of this outcome increased by 4% over the past 24 hours and has reached 40%. A winning bet on this event will yield a 150% return, while betting on the opposite outcome will yield a 64% return.
The chance of Bitcoin exceeding $99,999.99 has changed.
However, a trader using the pseudonym Chiefy disagreed with this forecast. According to him, the cryptocurrency’s price will collapse up to $35,000-38,000 after the asset price consolidates above the resistance barrier at $75,000. The coin is currently is $74,982, so this could happen in the near future.
Veteran trader Ted Pillouse is also skeptical about the possibility of renewed peaks this year. April 15, editorial staff Happy Coin News reported about why he predicts the bull rally will soon end, and today Ted addedthat he expects the Bitcoin price to fall to a new bottom in the second quarter of 2026.
Pillows noted that the cryptocurrency price recently broke through the downward trend line that began forming in October 2025, and the MACD indicator entered bullish territory. These factors signal a continuation of the upward movement. Therefore, by predicting a bearish trend, Ted believes traders have been set a bull trap.
“In my opinion, the US Federal Reserve Chairman will accelerate rate cuts and inject cash into the economy in the third quarter ahead of the midterm elections. This will mark the end of the Bitcoin market downtrend and trigger a V-shaped reversal similar to those seen in March 2020 and April 2025,” Pillowes concluded.
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