- One bet on a football club to win Manchester City’s win over Chelsea brought profit to the trader polymarket nearly $1 million
- The total account balance now stands at $4,2 million, with a prediction accuracy rate of 50,6%.
A cryptocurrency prediction market trader made millions of dollars by betting on sports. polymarket.
User “0x949” received $1 million on one rate, as he correctly predicted Manchester City FC’s victory over Chelsea in the FA Cup final on May 16 (data Arkham Intelligence).
Trader Data Analysis on Blockchain. Arkham Data
The trader purchased approximately $1,10 million worth of Yes shares, betting on Manchester City to win at an average price of 53,3 cents. After the match ended in Manchester City’s favor, the position was sold for approximately $2,06 million, generating a profit of $963,250.
He became one of the biggest winners in about a month, amassing a total profit of over $4,2 million. Blockchain data shows that over 4300 forecast trades have been made since the account was created in April 2026.
Profits were made primarily on sports markets, with football bets generating the largest wins. Other profitable bets on AS Monaco, Liverpool, Wolverhampton Wanderers, and RC Strasbourg generated profits of between $500,000 and $800,000.
The user also had some bad luck: a bet on the Stuttgart-Bayer Leverkusen match resulted in a loss of $727,000, and a bet on the Barcelona-Real Madrid match resulted in a loss of more than $680,000.
The account’s total trading volume exceeds $39 million, with a winning prediction percentage of 50,6%.
Trader data analysis on the blockchain. Source: Arkham
50% is a fairly high percentage of profitable trades, which, according to research by experts from the London Business School and Yale University, is characteristic of only 3,14% accounts on prediction markets.
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