Co-founder BitMEX and current Maelstrom Chief Investment Officer Arthur Hayes predicts that by the end of 2026 Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to trade above $100,000.
At the conference, Bitcoin 2026 at Las Vegas Hayes сказалthat BTC could rise to $125,000 by the end of 2026, slightly below its previous all-time high of $126,000 in October 2025.
Hayes attributed Bitcoin’s recent decline to a contraction in lending caused by job losses in artificial intelligence, which has negatively impacted consumer spending.
However, with the outbreak of war between the US and Iran in February, market sentiment shifted. In particular, concerns about a slowdown in the AI sector and rising inflation grew, helping Bitcoin outperform the Nasdaq.
According to Hayes, wartime inflation typically increases the demand for tangible assets such as Bitcoin, as they act as a hedge against currency depreciation.
The expert also noted the April easing of banking rules, including changes to the supplementary leverage ratio (eSLR), which could unlock about $1,3 trillion in lending funds.
Combined with increased defense spending, this liquidity could offset the weakness caused by artificial intelligence and support risk assets, including Bitcoin.
As a reminder, in earlier interviews, Arthur Hayes outlined a target level of $500,000 by the end of 2026, which could be facilitated by increased liquidity by central banks. As for 2027, he mentioned a figure of $750,000.
As before, Hayes remains a staunch supporter of Bitcoin, seeing it as a store of value, a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks.
At the moment Bitcoin hesitates around the $76,000 mark, down 0,9% on the day, while maintaining a weekly gain of 0,4%.
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