Updated: 02.04.2026
- The conflict in the Middle East and its consequences continue to attract users polymarket.
- The odds are that in April 2026 WTI crude oil will cost $120 per barrel, scored 65% probability.
- It is possible that the indicated price is not the limit.
In the prediction market polymarket Oil prices are back on the rise: over the past 24 hours, the odds of WTI crude hitting $120 a barrel in 2026 have risen. increased to 65%.
Market polymarket «What level will West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reach in April 2026?» is determined by the intraday high, not the close, using one-minute candles for the active monthly WTI futures contract.
According to the rules, the market will consider a «yes» price if, at any point during 2026, any minute candlestick of the active month records a high of $120 or higher for WTI. Otherwise, the price will be considered a «no» price, and if oracle data is unavailable, official CME daily highs will be used.
It’s worth noting that futures for this oil rose more than 6% in 24 hours to nearly $106 per barrel. The sharp jump to a 65% probability of WTI reaching $120 reflects a broader reassessment of oil risks across all forecasting and derivatives markets. Growing tensions in the Middle East and concerns about supply disruptions outweigh the impact of planned production increases by OPEC+ countries.
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