In the market XRP Bearish sentiment prevails, and analytical data points to a relatively low probability of the asset returning to the $3 level in the second quarter of 2026.
Now XRP faces a weak technical structure, multiple resistance levels and limited time for a sustainable breakout, which will limit upside in the coming months.
Almost eight months XRP traded in a downtrend and reinforces bearish forecasts. However, trading volume remains high in the $2 billion range, indicating that hope is not completely lost.
Technical data shows that the RSI for the pair is XRP/BTC dropped to 23, which is the highest oversold reading since October 2025. Historically, the RSI is at this level for the pair. XRP/BTC preceded breakouts by 65%–345% against Bitcoin.
XRP/BTC. Data from TradingView
Z-score XRP The MVRV is hovering around zero, a level that coincided with accumulation zones in 2021, 2022, and 2024 before each subsequent major rally. The last similar situation in June 2025 led to a spike. XRP paired with BTC by 61% and the price increased by 92% to $3,66.
Fear and Greed Index is at an extreme level of 16, with 26 out of 29 technical indicators currently pointing to a bearish trend.
The price is consolidating in a narrow range with clear technical boundaries. Resistance is found at $1,37, $1,39, and $1,41; the 50-day moving average is at $1,40, prompting bulls to be more cautious. Support zones are identified at $1,33, $1,32, and $1,31, with the strongest downside located in the classic reversal zone at $1,28–$1,30.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart has plateaued around 46,48, which is not oversold but also shows no momentum in either direction.
XRP/USD, Data from TradingView
Short-term forecasts are cautious. The projected price range for April is $1,30–$1,51, suggesting limited growth in the near term even under optimistic conditions.
Recent price movement XRP prompted comparisons with previous false recoveries, although the MVRV data distinguishes this moment from typical “dead cat” situations. A couple XRP/BTC is also within a long consolidation range that has historically acted as a macro zone for a restart.
On According to Happy Coin News, traders in the forecast market polymarket They expect that by the end of April XRP will remain within the range of $1,2 to $1,4.
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